Thursday, November 14, 2024

Does the Big Bang prove that the universe had a beginning?

TLDR: No, depending on what you mean by "prove."

Asking somebody to prove something is a way of raising the burden of proof to an unattainable standard. The idea behind our request is that we want the person to demonstrate certainty about their conclusion. That way if there's just an inkling of doubt, we can dismiss their case. In the real world, epistemological confidence (or strength of belief) comes in degrees. There are very few things we can be certain about, but certainty isn't necessary to function in life. We go on less than certainty about most things. Requiring certainty, then, is unreasonable in most cases.

For the purpose of this blog post, let's take it for granted that the big bang happened. I know there's a big stir on the internet about the James Webb Space Telescope calling the big bang into question. I don't think there's any merit to those doubts, but that's not what this post is about, so I won't go into it.

The question for today's post is whether the big bang, if it happened, proves that the universe had a beginning. If we're using "proof" as in establishes with certainty, then my answer is no. If the big bang were proof in that sense, it would mean that it would be impossible for the universe not to have a beginning as long as the big band theory is true. As long as it is possible for the big bang to be true without the universe having a beginning, then the big bang doesn't prove the universe had a beginning.

There are lots of models cooked up by cosmologists that are consistent with the big bang and that do not have a beginning. Most of these models are speculative and untestable. Most of them are probably wrong. But as long as they are possible, they show that it is possible for there to be a big bang without an absolute beginning. And that means the big bang does not show with certainty that the universe had a beginning.

But the fact that the beginning of the universe doesn't follow necessarily from the big bang doesn't mean the big bang isn't evidence for a beginning. Here, I'm using "evidence" to mean any artifact, data, or information that raises the probability of some conclusion. Since the beginning of the universe is more probable given the big bang than it would be without it, the big bang is evidence for the beginning of the universe.

Consider two scenarios - one in which the universe appears to be static and the other in which the universe appears to be expanding. Of these two scenarios, the expanding scenario at least makes it look like the universe had an origin as opposed to the static one which gives no indication. The origin would've been at or near the point in the past at which everything converged to a singularity. As you go back into the past, everything gets closer and closer together. There's a limit to how close things can get. Once they are all located at the same point, they cannot get any closer. If we look at the expanding universe and extrapolate back in time, it points to an absolute origin since everything is headed in the direction of infinite density.

Admittedly, there are horizons beyond which we can't look. One horizon is the epoch of recombination when subatomic particles first formed stable atoms. Before that, the universe was opaque. Recombination was the point at which the universe began to give off its first light. That light still exists as the Cosmic Microwave Background radiation (CMB). We can't see, using electromatic radiation, what the universe looked like before that no matter how powerful our telescopes become because no light was emitted prior to recombination.

We may be able to see earlier than that using gravitational waves, though. Gravitational wave astronomy is still new. I hope it advances to the point of being able to look at the universe earlier than the release of the CMB. There would be a lot we could learn.

Even if that succeeds, though, we run into another horizon. There is a point beyond which not even our best theories in physics can predict what we should expect the universe to be like. In general relativity, Einstein's field equation (and its various solutions) starts to yield nonsensical results when the curvature of spacetime approaches infinity. In quantum mechanics, the Heisenburg uncertainty principle would be violated if things were contricted to spaces smaller than the Planck length. Quantum mechanics and general relativity are two of our most successful theories in physics (and maybe in all of science), but if we try to use them to extrapolate back to a beginning, we run up against a wall.

It may be that we can push beyond this horizon if we can come up with a theory of quantum gravity that reconciles quantum mechanics and general relativity and allows us to describe the universe on scales smaller than the Planck length. But who knows if we will ever have such a theory? It may be that there isn't such a theory or it may be that such a theory is unknowable.

With all this fuzziness about what the universe was like beyond a certain point, it raises a degree of doubt that we can extrapolate from our observations about the universe now, using the known laws of physics, to an absolute beginning. That may always be the case.

I don't think this doubt should prevent us from inferring a beginning of the universe, though. Suppose the universe does not converge all the way to a singularity. Still, there's a limit to how far it can converge. At some point, it can't get any denser. Only one of two things can happen once you extrapolate to the limit of how dense the universe can get. Either whatever is left came into being, or it has always existed. If it has always existed, then why did it just begin to expand 13.8 billion years ago and not any sooner? After all, it would have had an infinite amount of time in which to do so. Whatever the reason or cause for why the universe began to expand when it did, that cause or reason would have always been there. I think the big bang points to a beginning of the universe even if we don't know what the universe was like beyond a certain point.

It may be that the beginning of the universe is the point at which our theories do make sense. The fact that we cannot push them beyond a certain point may be owing to the fact that the universe can't exist beyond that point, which in turn, means that's the beginning. Maybe the universe had some finite curvature and density at its beginning, avoiding all the problems of infinities, and avoiding the violation of any known laws.

This is all speculative, of course, but the speculation that the universe had a beginning is at least based on what we know. Based on what we know about the expansion of the universe and the laws of physics, it looks like the universe had a beginning. The fact that there are speculative models in which the universe didn't have a beginning doesn't change this fact. There's nothing in our evidence that makes it look like any of those speculations are true. There's nothing we can point to that would remotely suggest the universe had some finite density for infinite time before expanding.

So, while I don't think the big bang shows with any certainty that the universe had a beginning, I do think it shows with some positive probability that the universe had a beginning. It at least points to a beginning. It's the sort of thing we would expect if the universe had a beginning. It certaintly makes it look more like the universe had a beginning than it would if the universe was not expanding or contracting. So I think the big bang is evidence for the beginning of the universe even if it's not proof.

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